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Yellowstone supervolcano eruption fears...

 
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Lord Beria3



Joined: 25 Feb 2009
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Location: Moscow Russia

PostPosted: Thu Jun 29, 2017 7:57 pm    Post subject: Yellowstone supervolcano eruption fears... Reply with quote

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-06-28/scientists-fear-supervolcano-eruption-swarm-earthquakes-near-yellowstone-soars-800

Quote:
More than 800 earthquakes have now been recorded at the Yellowstone Caldera, a long-dormant supervolcano located in Yellowstone National Park, over the last two weeks - an ominous sign that a potentially catastrophic eruption could be brewing. However, despite earthquakes occurring at a frequency unseen during any period in the past five years, the US Geological Survey says the risk level remains in the “green,” unchanged from its normal levels, according to Newsweek.

The biggest earthquake in this “swarm” - which registered a magnitude of 4.4 – took place on June 15, three days after the rumblings started. That quake was the biggest in the region since a magnitude 4.8 earthquake struck close to Norris Geyser Basin in March 2014. This magnitude 4.4 earthquake was so powerful that people felt it in Bozman Montana, about eight miles away.


This would be a truly global game-changer if Yellowstone erupted.

It would be the end of America as we know it and would trigger a global era of crisis.
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Little John



Joined: 08 Mar 2008
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Location: UK

PostPosted: Thu Jun 29, 2017 8:13 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Whilst I would never wish such a calamity on and would have nothing but sorrow and sympathy for the American people

In terms of the American military industrial complex.....

End of America...Global Era of Crisis

That's an oxymoron isn't it


Last edited by Little John on Thu Jun 29, 2017 8:15 pm; edited 1 time in total
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woodburner



Joined: 06 Apr 2009
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PostPosted: Thu Jun 29, 2017 8:14 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Headline grabbing hysteria.

Newsweek wrote:
"This is the highest number of earthquakes at Yellowstone within a single week in the past five years, but is fewer than weekly counts during similar earthquakes swarms in 2002, 2004, 2008 and 2010," scientists said.


The estimate of the probability of an eruption in the next year is quoted as 1:730,000.
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Little John



Joined: 08 Mar 2008
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PostPosted: Thu Jun 29, 2017 8:20 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I always find odds, as they are applied to natural phenomena like volcanoes, dubious.

That is to say, the odds of winning the lottery are X millions to one and this remains true since it is a brand new lottery every week. This is not the same as a growing probability of an eruption of a volcano.

Thus, with Yellowstone, in the absence of adequate data, the odds are indeed many thousands to one. But, unlike the national lottery where we can honestly say this is the case because we know all of the important variables involved, in the case of Yellowstone we don't.

Yellowstone could be at minuscule risk of erupting or it could have a probability of nearly one. To simply pick the odds between those two extremes and say that this is the actual probability of occurrence is a stance based on ignorance not on knowledge.


Last edited by Little John on Thu Jun 29, 2017 8:28 pm; edited 1 time in total
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woodburner



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PostPosted: Thu Jun 29, 2017 8:22 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Let's hope it's nearly 1 then. That will at least stop these fatuous arguments.
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Little John



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PostPosted: Thu Jun 29, 2017 8:24 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

hahaha

Yes
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adam2
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Joined: 02 Jul 2007
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Location: North Somerset

PostPosted: Thu Jun 29, 2017 8:35 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

This is a long way down my list of things to worry about !
It COULD happen this week, but probably wont happen in my lifetime.

If it DOES blow up, then general preps as discussed on these forums would help somewhat, but might not suffice.
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fuzzy



Joined: 29 Nov 2013
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PostPosted: Thu Jun 29, 2017 9:52 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I've got a fiberglass hardhat and a steel furnace suit, so I'll move to Montana if it kicks off.
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RenewableCandy



Joined: 12 Sep 2007
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PostPosted: Thu Jun 29, 2017 10:14 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I don't even have a fecking tinfoil hat, so I'm stuffed.
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UndercoverElephant



Joined: 10 Mar 2008
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PostPosted: Thu Jun 29, 2017 11:20 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Little John wrote:
Whilst I would never wish such a calamity on and would have nothing but sorrow and sympathy for the American people.


**** 'em. Let it blow.

Very unlikely to happen anytime soon though. Maybe some time in the next few thousand years...
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raspberry-blower



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PostPosted: Fri Jun 30, 2017 9:24 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

woodburner wrote:
Headline grabbing hysteria.

Newsweek wrote:
"This is the highest number of earthquakes at Yellowstone within a single week in the past five years, but is fewer than weekly counts during similar earthquakes swarms in 2002, 2004, 2008 and 2010," scientists said.


The estimate of the probability of an eruption in the next year is quoted as 1:730,000.


As also quoted on IFLScience. Putting it into perspective - you are 146 times as likely to die in a car crash than being killed as a result of a suoervolcano eruption

http://www.iflscience.com/environment/earthquake-swarm-yellowstone-going-on-lot-longer-expected/
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woodburner



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PostPosted: Fri Jun 30, 2017 12:03 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Looks like it's better to assume it will blow soon, and PANIC!!! Call a general election or something equally useful.
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